DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Windsor-Essex

In this model, the three existing ridings of Essex, Windsor West, and Windsor-St. Clair are combined into one riding, which we will call Windsor-Essex.

The new riding would elect three members of parliament.

Ontario provincial election - 2003


Windsor-Essex- Actual results Ontario provincial Election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Essex 20,559 11,234 12,614 998 0 0 45,405
Windsor West 22,024 4,190 7,389 1,241 0 388 35,232
Windsor-St. Clair 19,692 4,162 10,433 1,315 0 253 35,855
Total votes received 62,275 19,586 30,436 3,554 0 641 116,492
Seats won 3 0 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 53.46% 16.81% 26.13% 3.05% 0.00% 0.55% 100%
Index of Distortion +46.54 -16.81 -26.13 -3.05 0 -0.55 46.54

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, all three ridings elected Liberal MPPs.

Under the existing voting system, 53.46% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 46.54% of the votes were wasted.


In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Windsor-Essex - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Total votes received 62,275 19,586 30,436 3,554 0 641 116,492
Seats won 2 0 1 0 0 0 3
Seat % 66.67% 0% 33.33% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 53.46% 16.81% 26.13% 3.05% 0.00% 0.55% 100%
Index of Distortion +13.21 -16.81 +7.20 -3.05 0 -0.55 20.41

Under this model, 79.59% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 19.86% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.55% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore would have been wasted.


Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21


Canadian federal election - 2000


Windsor-Essex - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Essex 20,524 16,019 3,175 6,431 0 152 46,301
Windsor West 20,729 8,777 2,116 6,080 0 533 38,235
Windsor-St. Clair 16,600 5,639 1,906 17,001 390 95 41,631
Total votes received 57,853 30,435 7,197 29,512 390 780 126,167
Seats won 2 0 0 1 0 0 3
Seat% 66.67% 0% 0% 33.33% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 45.85% 24.12% 5.70% 23.39% 0.31% 0.62% 100%
Index of Distortion +20.82 -24.12 -5.70 +9.94 -0.31 -0.62 30.76

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, the three ridings elected 2 Liberal MPs and a New Democrat.

Under the existing voting system, 46.17% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 53.83% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Windsor-Essex - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Total votes received 57,853 30,435 7,197 29,512 390 780 126,167
Seats won 1 1 0 1 0 0 3
Seat % 33.33% 33.33% 0% 33.33% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 45.85% 24.12% 5.70% 23.39% 0.31% 0.62% 100%
Index of Distortion -12.52 +9.21 -5.70 +9.94 -0.31 -0.62 19.15

Under this model, 93.36% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 6.01% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.62% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and therefore would have been wasted.


Ontario - Simulated compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21

DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator