DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Peel


In this model, the seven existing ridings of Bramalea-Gore-Malton-Springdale, Brampton Centre, Brampton West-Mississauga, Mississauga Centre, Mississauga East, Mississauga South and Mississauga West are combined into one riding, which we will call Peel.

The new riding would elect seven members of parliament.



Ontario provincial election - 2003


Peel - Actual results Ontario provincial Election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Bramalea-Gore-Malton-Springdale 19,306 15,549 4,931 1,176 0 1,371 42,333
Brampton Centre 16,661 15,656 4,827 820 0 356 38,320
Brampton West-Mississauga 28,926 26,414 5,103 811 1,122 266 62,642
Mississauga Centre 18,466 15,846 3,237 776 588 0 38,913
Mississauga East 16,686 13,832 2,479 666 358 256 34,277
Mississauga South 17,211 16,977 3,606 949 555 0 39,298
Mississauga West 27,903 20,406 4,196 1,395 989 0 54,889
Total votes received 145,159 124,680 28,379 6,593 3,612 2,249 310,672
Seats won 7 0 0 0 0 0 7
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 46.72% 40.13% 9.13% 2.12% 1.16% 0.72% 100%
Index of Distortion +53.28 -40.13 -9.13 -2.12 -1.16 -0.72 53.28

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, all seven ridings elected Liberal MPPs.

Under the existing voting system, 46.72% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 53.28% of the votes were wasted.


In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Peel - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Total votes received 145,159 124,680 28,379 6,593 3,612 2,249 310,672
Seats won 3 3 1 0 0 0 7
Seat % 42.86% 42.86% 14.29% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 46.72% 40.13% 9.13% 2.12% 1.16% 0.72% 100%
Index of Distortion -3.86 +2.73 +5.16 -2.12 -1.16 -0.72 7.87

Under this model, 95.98% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 3.28% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.72% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore would have been wasted.


Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21



Canadian federal election - 2000


Peel - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Bramalea-Gore-Malton-Springdale 21,917 7,214 6,019 1,864 0 1,402 38,416
Brampton Centre 18,365 6,247 9,229 1,795 628 0 36,264
Brampton West-Mississauga 31,041 7,666 5,957 1,567 529 0 46,760
Mississauga Centre 24,381 6,643 5,077 1,404 0 514 38,019
Mississauga East 22,158 5,372 5,144 1,451 0 227 34,352
Mississauga South 20,676 10,139 6,903 1,636 516 67 39,937
Mississauga West 31,260 10,582 5,275 1,532 810 0 49,459
Total votes received 169,798 53,863 43,604 11,249 2,483 2,210 283,207
Seats won 7 0 0 0 0 0 7
Seat% 100.00% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 59.96% 19.02% 15.40% 3.97% 0.88% 0.78% 100%
Index of Distortion +40.04 -19.02 -15.40 -3.97 -0.88 -0.78 40.04

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, all seven ridings elected Liberal MPs.

Under the existing voting system, 59.96% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 40.04% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Peel - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Total votes received 169,798 53,863 43,604 11,249 2,483 2,210 283,207
Seats won 5 1 1 0 0 0 7
Seat % 71.43% 14.29% 14.29% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 59.96% 19.02% 15.40% 3.97% 0.88% 0.78% 100%
Index of Distortion +11.47 -4.73 -1.11 -3.97 -0.88 -0.78 11.47

Under this model, 94.38% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 4.85% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.78% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and therefore would have been wasted.


Ontario - Simulated compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21


DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator