DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge

In this model, the three existing ridings of Cambridge, Kitchener Centre and Kitchener-Waterloo are combined into one riding, which we will call Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge.

The new riding would elect three members of parliament.

Ontario provincial election - 2003


Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge - Actual results Ontario provincial Election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Cambridge 16,559 19,996 8,513 983 1,001 0 47,052
Kitchener Centre 18,280 16,120 6,781 1,728 0 0 42,909
Kitchener-Waterloo 22,456 23,957 6,084 1,774 949 395 55,615
Total votes received 57,295 60,073 21,378 4,485 1,950 395 145,576
Seats won 1 2 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 33.33% 66.67% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 39.36% 41.27% 14.69% 3.08% 1.34% 0.27% 100%
Index of Distortion -6.03 +25.40 -14.69 -3.08 -1.34 -0.27 25.40

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, the three ridings elected 2 Progressive Conservative MPPs and a Liberal.

Under the existing voting system, 42.75% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 57.25% of the votes were wasted.


In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Total votes received 57,295 60,073 21,378 4,485 1,950 395 145,576
Seats won 1 1 1 0 0 0 3
Seat % 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 39.36% 41.27% 14.69% 3.08% 1.34% 0.27% 100%
Index of Distortion -6.03 -7.94 +18.64 -3.08 -1.34 -0.27 18.64

Under this model, 95.32% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 4.42% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.27% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore would have been wasted.


Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21


Canadian federal election - 2000


Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Cambridge 22,148 14,915 5,988 4,111 0 370 47,532
Kitchener Centre 23,511 11,603 6,162 3,058 0 158 44,492
Kitchener-Waterloo 27,132 12,402 8,621 4,394 809 542 53,900
Total votes received 72,791 38,920 20,771 11,563 809 1,070 145,924
Seats won 3 0 0 0 0 0 3
Seat% 100.00% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 49.88% 26.67% 14.23% 7.92% 0.55% 0.73% 100%
Index of Distortion +50.12 -26.67 -14.23 -7.92 -0.55 -0.73 50.12

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, the three ridings elected 3 Liberal MPs.

Under the existing voting system, 49.88% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 50.12% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Total votes received 72,791 38,920 20,771 11,563 809 1,070 145,924
Seats won 2 1 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 66.67% 33.33% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 49.88% 26.67% 14.23% 7.92% 0.55% 0.73% 100%
Index of Distortion +16.79 +6.66 -14.23 -7.92 -0.55 -0.73 23.45

Under this model, 76.55% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 22.70% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.73% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and therefore would have been wasted.


Ontario - Simulated compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21

DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator