DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Halton

In this model, the three existing ridings of Burlington, Halton and Oakville are combined into one riding, which we will call Halton.

The new riding would elect three members of parliament.

Ontario provincial election - 2003


Halton - Actual results Ontario provincial Election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Burlington 19,654 21,506 3,832 1,086 523 0 46,601
Halton 28,112 33,610 5,587 1,295 1,123 0 69,727
Oakville 22,428 18,991 2,858 0 751 0 45,028
Total votes received 70,194 74,107 12,277 2,381 2,397 0 161,356
Seats won 1 2 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 33.33% 66.67% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 43.50% 45.93% 7.61% 1.48% 1.49% 0.00% 100%
Index of Distortion -10.17 +20.74 -7.61 -1.48 -1.49 0 20.74

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, the three ridings elected two Progressive Conservative MPPs and a Liberal.

Under the existing voting system, 48.06% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 51.94% of the votes were wasted.


In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Halton - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Total votes received 70,194 74,107 12,277 2,381 2,397 0 161,356
Seats won 1 2 0 0 0 0 0
Seat % 33.33% 66.67% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 43.50% 45.93% 7.61% 1.48% 1.49% 0.00% 100%
Index of Distortion -10.17 +20.74 -7.61 -1.48 -1.49 0 20.74

In this case, the seat distribution has not actually changed. Nevertheless, under this model, 89.43% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

The other 10.57% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

All of the votes cast would have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore none would have been wasted.


Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21


Canadian federal election - 2000


Halton - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Burlington 22,175 11,500 11,240 1,722 771 0 37,696
Halton 28,168 15,656 12,114 2,633 1,018 0 59,589
Oakville 23,074 13,544 9,589 1,335 790 0 48,332
Total votes received 73,417 40,700 32,943 5,690 2,579 0 155,329
Seats won 3 0 0 0 0 0 3
Seat% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 47.27% 26.20% 21.21% 3.66% 1.66% 0.00% 100%
Index of Distortion +52.73 -26.20 -21.21 -3.66 -1.66 0 52.73

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, all three ridings elected Liberal MPs.

Under the existing voting system, 47.27% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 52.73% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Halton - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Total votes received 73,417 40,700 32,943 5,690 2,579 0 155,329
Seats won 1 1 1 0 0 0 3
Seat % 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 47.27% 26.20% 21.21% 3.66% 1.66% 0.00% 100%
Index of Distortion -13.94 +7.13 +12.12 -3.66 -1.66 0 19.25

Under this model, 94.68% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

The other 5.32% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

All of the votes cast would have helped to elect an MP, and therefore none would have been wasted.


Ontario - Simulated compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21

DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator