DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Guelph-Wellington


In this model, Guelph-Wellington would remain a single-member riding.



Ontario provincial election - 2003


Guelph-Wellington - Actual results Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Other Total
Votes received 23,607 20,735 6,745 3,917 914 0 55,918
Seats won 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 42.22 37.08% 12.06% 7.00% 1.63% 0.00% 100%
Distortion +57.78 -37.08 -12.06 -7.00 -1.63 0 57.78

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, the riding elected a Liberal MPP.

Under the existing voting system, 42.22% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 57.78% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, we assume that the Liberal would still have won the riding.

Under this model, 42.22% of the voters in Guelph-Wellington would still have gotten the local representative they voted for.

However, the other 57.78% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they too would have representation.

All of the votes cast would have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore none would have been wasted.

Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21



Canadian federal election - 2000


Guelph-Wellington - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Votes received 26,440 11,037 10,188 5,685 966 550 54,866
Seats won 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 48.19% 20.12% 18.57% 10.36% 1.76% 1.00% 100%
Distortion +51.81 -20.12 -18.57 -10.36 -1.76 -1.00 51.81

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, the riding elected a Liberal MP.

Under the existing voting system, 48.19% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 51.81% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, we assume that the Liberal would still have won the riding.

Under this model, 48.19% of the voters in Guelph-Wellington would still have gotten the local representative they voted for.

However, another 50.81% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they too would have representation.

Only 1.00% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and would therefore have been wasted.

Simulated Ontario compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21



DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator