DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Barrie-Simcoe


In this model, the three existing ridings of Barrie-Simcoe-Bradford, Simcoe North, and Simcoe-Grey are combined into one riding, which we will call Barrie-Simcoe.

The new riding would elect three members of parliament.



Ontario provincial election - 2003


Barrie-Simcoe - Actual results Ontario provincial Election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Barrie-Simcoe-Bradford 21,998 31,529 5,641 1,278 441 0 60,887
Simcoe North 19,713 23,393 5,515 1,540 453 101 50,715
Simcoe-Grey 17,505 26,114 5,032 875 801 411 50,738
Total votes received 59,216 81,036 16,188 3,693 1,695 512 162,340
Seats won 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 36.48% 49.92% 9.97% 2.27% 1.04% 0.32% 100%
Index of Distortion -36.48 +50.08 -9.97 -2.27 -1.04 -0.32 50.08

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, all three ridings elected Progressive Conservative MPPs.

Under the existing voting system, 49.92% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 50.08% of the votes were wasted.


In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Barrie-Simcoe - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Coalition Other Total
Total votes received 59,216 81,036 16,188 3,693 1,695 512 162,340
Seats won 1 2 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 33.33% 66.67% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 36.48% 49.92% 9.97% 2.27% 1.04% 0.32% 100%
Index of Distortion -3.15 +16.75 -9.97 -2.27 -1.04 -0.32 16.75

Under this model, 86.40% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 13.28% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 0.32% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore would be wasted.


Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21



Canadian federal election - 2000


Barrie-Simcoe - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Barrie-Simcoe-Bradford 26,309 17,600 7,588 2,385 0 621 54,503
Simcoe North 24,510 14,283 6,914 2,272 0 305 48,284
Simcoe-Grey 22,224 16,113 8,655 1,646 0 997 49,635
Total votes received 73,043 47,996 23,157 6,303 0 1,923 152,422
Seats won 3 0 0 0 0 0 3
Seat% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 47.92% 31.49% 15.19% 4.14% 0.00% 1.26% 100%
Index of Distortion +52.08 -31.49 -15.19 -4.14 0 -1.26 52.08

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, all three ridings elected Liberal MPs.

Under the existing voting system, 47.92% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 52.08% of the votes were wasted.


In our model, the seats would have been allocated as follows:

Barrie-Simcoe - Simulated Proportional Distribution -Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Total votes received 73,043 47,996 23,157 6,303 0 1,923 152,422
Seats won 2 1 0 0 0 0 3
Seat % 66.67% 33.33% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 47.92% 31.49% 15.19% 4.14% 0.00% 1.26% 100%
Index of Distortion +18.75 +1.84 -15.19 -4.14 0 -1.26 20.59

Under this model, 79.41% of the voters would have helped to elect a local representative.

Another 19.33% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they would also have representation.

Only 1.26% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and therefore would be wasted.


Ontario - Simulated compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21


DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator